Saturday, March 24, 2012

Correction On The Cards?

I have usually been a bull in the market, even before many lost their shirts in the 2009 up-circuit. Over the past few years, though, market has gone almost nowhere. Post the 2009 post-election rally, the market reached about 4500 levels, and has been stuck around there for long. I would think that we would be breaking the all-time high some time this year - the flows have been good, and there are enough sectors which are driving the markets globally. 

For the short term, however, am not too positive, and we can see a break of 5200 levels on the downside next week. Being the last week of the month, we would see good volumes, and unwinding of large positions. The budget has been a disappointment, and there are now noise around some ratings action on India as well. While there may not be an immediate ratings cut, however, a positive action is now out of window for a good time. Plus, the noise around Vodafone tax settlement case is not helping matters either. 



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